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	<title>FAIR Blog &#187; Dean Baker</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.fair.org/blog/tag/dean-baker/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.fair.org/blog</link>
	<description>The national media watch group</description>
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		<title>Pentagon Budgets and Fuzzy Math</title>
		<link>http://www.fair.org/blog/2012/01/27/pentagon-budgets-and-fuzzy-math/</link>
		<comments>http://www.fair.org/blog/2012/01/27/pentagon-budgets-and-fuzzy-math/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Jan 2012 17:29:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Hart</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Budget]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[McClatchy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York Times]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PBS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USA Today]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War/Military]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Washington Post]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Craig Whitlock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[David Swanson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dean Baker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Elisabeth Bumiller]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jeffrey Brown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Leon Panetta]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nancy Yousef]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NewsHour]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fair.org/blog/?p=20322</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[By the tone of  some of the media coverage, you might have thought Defense Secretary Leon Panetta announced a plan to slash military spending yesterday.  On the front page of USA Today (1/27/12), under the headline "Panetta Backs Far Leaner Military," readers learn in the first paragraph:

The Pentagon's new plan to cut Defense spending means [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By the tone of  some of the media coverage, you might have thought Defense Secretary Leon Panetta announced a plan to slash military spending yesterday.  On the front page of <strong>USA Today</strong> (<a href="http://www.usatoday.com/NEWS/usaedition/2012-01-27-military-budget_ST_U.htm">1/27/12</a>), under the headline "Panetta Backs Far Leaner Military," readers learn in the first paragraph:<strong><br />
</strong></p>
<blockquote><p>The Pentagon's new plan to cut Defense spending means a reduction of 100,000 troops, the retiring of ships and planes and closing of bases--moves that the Defense secretary said would not compromise security.</p></blockquote>
<p>The piece quotes critics of the cuts like Sen. Joe Lieberman and an analyst at the right-wing American Enterprise Institute. And the article talks about the most commonly cited figure of $487 billion in cuts over 10 years. As economist Dean Baker <a href="http://www.cepr.net/index.php/blogs/beat-the-press/military-budget-cuts-denominator-please">writes</a> about such coverage--"Military Budget Cuts: Denominator Please"--there is no way people can assess the significance of what sounds like a lot of money if they don't know how much the Pentagon is planning to spend over the same 1o-year period--roughly $8 trillion.</p>
<p>The <strong>PBS NewsHour</strong> did little to clarify the issue. The broadcast began with <a title="FAIR Blog: Public TV's Inequality Balancing Act" href="http://www.fair.org/blog/2011/09/23/public-tvs-inequality-balancing-act/" target="_self">Jeffrey Brown</a> announcing, "<span><span>The <span><span>Pentagon</span></span> today outlined almost half a trillion dollars in <span><span>budget</span></span> cuts that would shrink the size of the U.S. military by trimming ground  forces, retiring ships and planes, and delaying some new weapons." <strong>PBS</strong> aired clips from Republicans Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich denouncing the budget cuts, and <a href="http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/military/jan-june12/defensecuts_01-26.html">then interviewed</a> a Pentagon official.<br />
</span></span></p>
<p>Even coverage of the Pentagon's new "austerity" that managed to include some helpful context didn't make things very clear. "The Pentagon took the first major step toward shrinking its budget after a  decade of war" was how a <strong>New York Times </strong>story by <a title="FAIR Blog: NY Times: The Military's View of Afghanistan" href="http://www.fair.org/blog/2009/02/24/ny-times-the-militarys-view-of-afghanistan/" target="_self">Elisabeth Bumiller</a> (<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/27/us/pentagon-proposes-limiting-raises-and-closing-bases-to-cut-budget.html?_r=1&amp;pagewanted=print">1/27/12</a>) begins. In the fourth paragraph, readers found this:</p>
<blockquote><p>Even though the Defense Department has been called on to find $259 billion in  cuts in the next five years--and $487 billion over the decade--its base budget  (not counting the costs of Afghanistan or other wars) will rise to $567 billion  by 2017. But when adjusted for inflation, the increases are small enough that  they will amount to a slight cut of 1.6 percent of the Pentagon's base budget  over the next five years.</p></blockquote>
<p>So the "first major step" in cutting the military budget... isn't really a cut?<!--preview-break--></p>
<p>A <strong>Washington Post</strong> piece by Craig Whitlock (<a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/pentagon-budget-set-to-shrink-next-year/2012/01/26/gIQALpfNTQ_print.html">1/27/12</a>) had a more accurate lead--"The Pentagon budget will shrink slightly next year"-- but later tries to make a 1 percent cut sound more significant: "While the difference may  sound small, it represents a new era of austerity for the Defense Department."</p>
<p>To make matters even more confusing, the <strong>Post</strong> points out later that</p>
<blockquote><p>Although the defense budget will decline next year, to $525 billion from this  year's $531 billion, under Obama's current projections it will inch upward in  constant dollars between 1 percent and 2 percent annually thereafter.</p></blockquote>
<p>Kudos to Nancy Yousef of <strong>McClatchy</strong> for writing a piece (<a href="http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2012/01/26/137056/defense-budget-plan-doesnt-cut.html#storylink=misearch">1/26/12</a>) that took a different tack. Under the headline "Defense Budget Plan Doesn't Cut as Deeply as Pentagon Says," Yousef led with this:</p>
<blockquote><p>Pentagon officials on Thursday announced the outlines of what they called a pared-down defense budget, <strong>but their request would increase baseline spending beyond the projected end of the war in Afghanistan, even as they plan to reduce ground forces.</strong></p></blockquote>
<p>To Yousef, the Pentagon was " employing a definition of the term 'reduction' that may be popular in Washington but is unconventional anywhere else."</p>
<p>And activist/writer David Swanson <a href="http://davidswanson.org/node/3552">pointed out</a> that the first question at Panetta's briefing got right at this question of whether the cuts are really cut. From the transcript:</p>
<p><span><span> </span></span></p>
<blockquote><p><span> </span>Mr. Secretary, you talked a little bit on this, but over the next 10  years, do you see any other year than this year where the actual  spending will go down from year to year? And  just to the American public more broadly, how do you sort of explain  what appears to be contradictory, as you talk about, repeatedly, this  $500 billion in cuts in a Defense Department budget that is actually  going to be increasing over time?</p></blockquote>
<p>Panetta's answer:</p>
<p><span> </span></p>
<blockquote><p><span><span> </span></span>Yeah, I think the simplest way to say this is that under the budget  that was submitted in the past, we had a projected growth level for the Defense budget.  And that growth would've provided for almost $500  billion in growth.  And we had obviously dedicated that to a number of  plans and projects that we would have. That's gotta be cut, and that's a real cut in terms of what our projected growth would be.</p></blockquote>
<p>See the <a href="http://www.accuracy.org/release/panettas-pentagon-austerity/">new release</a> from the Institute for Public Accuracy for more of the context largely missing from the Pentagon budget coverage.</p>
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		<title>Time Paints Paul Ryan as Deficit-Slashing Superhero</title>
		<link>http://www.fair.org/blog/2011/12/15/time-paints-paul-ryan-as-deficit-slashing-superhero/</link>
		<comments>http://www.fair.org/blog/2011/12/15/time-paints-paul-ryan-as-deficit-slashing-superhero/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Dec 2011 22:30:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Hart</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Budget]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Taxes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Time]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[protest]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[David Von Drehle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dean Baker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Paul Krugman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Paul Ryan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fair.org/blog/?p=19992</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The fact that Time magazine named "The Protester" its Person of the Year was maybe a little surprising. Totally unsurprising, though, was the choice of a runners-up: Republican Rep. Paul Ryan, a hero to many in the corporate media for his bold calls to slash government spending on the poor.
It's hard to know where to [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The fact that <strong>Time</strong> magazine named "The Protester" its Person of the Year was maybe a little surprising. Totally unsurprising, though, was the choice of a runners-up: Republican Rep. Paul Ryan, a hero to many in the corporate media for his bold calls to slash government spending on the poor.<!--preview-break--></p>
<p><img class="alignright" src="http://www.fair.org/images/time-paul-ryan.jpg" alt="" width="319" height="468" />It's hard to know where to start with reporter David Von Drehle's <a href="http://www.time.com/time/specials/packages/article/0,28804,2101745_2102133_2102332,00.html #ixzz1gdVlGtQK">tribute</a>. But let's try here:</p>
<blockquote><p>Through a combination of hard work, good timing and possibly suicidal guts, the Wisconsin Republican managed to harness his party to a dramatic plan for dealing with America's rapidly rising public debt.</p></blockquote>
<p>Dealing with the rising debt. Remember that idea.</p>
<p>He goes on:</p>
<blockquote><p>The supply-sider from Janesville, Wis., tapped into a deep well of anxiety over trillion-dollar deficits at home and the threat of debt-fueled calamity in Europe. Did he deliver a perfect plan? Not even he claims that. But Ryan, 41, offered a budget that began to convey the scale of change necessary to defuse the American debt bomb: Sweeping tax reform. Unprecedented spending freezes. Most important, a thorough reinvention of federal entitlements.</p></blockquote>
<p>Ryan's plan isn't perfect? And he <em>admitted</em> this?  What a guy! Ryan's heroic stance, readers learn, caused fury in both parties. Republicans were forced to make  difficult choices, while "Democrats howled at the sacrilege and Ryan's refusal to raise income tax rates on the wealthy."</p>
<p>Ryan's is a "tough budget"  that "brought President Obama down from his cloud of happy talk about windmills and high-speed trains to acknowledge that America has a plateful of peas to choke down after its binge at the dessert bar." That's right--massive cuts in social spending are good for you, just like eating your veggies.<!--preview-break--></p>
<p>The crux of the whole piece comes down to this:</p>
<blockquote><p>Ryan's dramatic proposal would not have gained any traction if it did not address a widely acknowledged problem: Over the next two generations, the U.S. government is on track to spend many tens of trillions of dollars more than it plans to raise. Unless changes are made, that will force so much borrowing that interest payments alone will sink the federal budget.</p></blockquote>
<p>Thankfully, <strong>Time</strong> tells us, Paul Ryan has "the courage to look the future in the eye. It is a seer's work to glimpse around the corner and sound an alarm."</p>
<p>The piece closes by noting that this brave bold plan "wouldn't balance the federal budget until 2040. The prophet of 2011 will be 70 years old."</p>
<p>Wait a second. I thought this was a bold deficit-reducing roadmap to deal with the debt?</p>
<p>The secret to the Ryan plan--the thing media don't talk about much--is that it doesn't do the thing they say they like about it-- namely, reduce the deficit. As Paul Krugman<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/08/06/opinion/06krugman.html?adxnnl=1&amp;ref=opinion&amp;adxnnlx=1323983147-EZkVyoPuZksu+wd2qNI+PQ"> explained</a> in the <strong>New York Times</strong>, the projected deficit in 2020 under the Ryan plan would be</p>
<blockquote><p>about the same as the budget office's estimate of the 2020 deficit under the Obama administration's plans. That is, Mr. Ryan may speak about the  deficit in apocalyptic terms, but even if you believe that his proposed spending  cuts are feasible--which you shouldn't--the Roadmap wouldn't reduce the  deficit. All it would do is cut benefits for the middle class while slashing taxes on the rich.</p></blockquote>
<p>Or as James Horney of the Center on Budget &amp; Policy Priorities wrote of Ryan (<a href="http://www.cbpp.org/cms/index.cfm?fa=view&amp;id=3458">4/8/11</a>):</p>
<blockquote><p>Despite proposing $4.3 trillion in what would be the most severe and wrenching  budget cuts in U.S. history--two-thirds of which would come from programs for  people of low or moderate incomes--the plan barely reduces deficits at all over  the next decade. That's because his budget cuts are offset by $4.2 trillion in tax cuts that would go disproportionately to those at the top. In essence, at least for the next decade, this plan is far less a blueprint for addressing  deficits and far more a proposal to redistribute large amounts of resources from  those at the bottom to those at the top.</p></blockquote>
<p>Dean Baker <a href="http://www.cepr.net/index.php/blogs/beat-the-press/time-magazine-decides-to-throw-numbers-to-the-wind-to-promote-representative-ryan">writes </a>that "Representative Ryan's program would imply a massive upward redistribution to the  one percent." Maybe that explains why he's a <strong>Time</strong> runner-up. If "The Protester" is the Person of the Year, journalistic "balance" requires saying nice things about the One Percent.</p>
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		<title>NPR Tries to Track Down Those Millionaire Job Creators</title>
		<link>http://www.fair.org/blog/2011/12/09/npr-tries-to-track-down-those-millionaire-job-creators/</link>
		<comments>http://www.fair.org/blog/2011/12/09/npr-tries-to-track-down-those-millionaire-job-creators/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Dec 2011 18:45:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Hart</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[NPR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Taxes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dean Baker]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fair.org/blog/?p=19918</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Dean Baker (12/9/11) flagged this NPR Morning Edition report today (12/9/11), and it's well worth a positivity.
In the debate over the payroll tax cut, Democrats want to pay for extending the tax break with a surtax on the wealthy. Republicans claim--usually without being challenged by reporters--that a surtax on millionaires would be an attack on [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dean Baker (<a href="http://www.cepr.net/index.php/blogs/beat-the-press/where-are-the-millionaire-job-creators-npr-does-the-big-hunt">12/9/11</a>) flagged this <strong>NPR Morning Edition</strong> report</a> today (<a href="http://www.npr.org/blogs/itsallpolitics/2011/12/09/143398685/gop-objects-to-millionaires-surtax-millionaires-we-found-not-so-much">12/9/11</a>), and it's well worth a positivity.</p>
<p>In the debate over the payroll tax cut, Democrats want to pay for extending the tax break with a surtax on the wealthy. Republicans claim--usually <a href="http://www.fair.org/blog/2011/12/07/when-right-wing-tax-spin/">without being challenged</a> by reporters--that a surtax on millionaires would be an attack on job-creating small-business owners.</p>
<p>So <strong>NPR</strong> decided to go to GOP officials and ask to speak with these small-business-owning, millionaire job-creators. Turned out there was trouble finding any:</p>
<blockquote><p>We wanted to talk to business owners who would be affected. So  <strong>NPR</strong> requested help from numerous Republican congressional offices, including House and Senate leadership. They were unable to produce a single millionaire job creator for us to interview.<!--preview-break--></p>
<p>So we went to the business groups that have been lobbying against the surtax. Again, three days after putting in a request, none of them was able to find someone for us to talk to. <strong><br />
</strong></p></blockquote>
<p>They did find a few wealthy business owners willing to talk--and they said their personal tax rate wasn't a factor in their hiring decisions.</p>
<p>Imagine if journalists did this kind of thing all the time?</p>
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		<title>Jonathan Karl Plays the Freddie/Fannie Blame Game</title>
		<link>http://www.fair.org/blog/2011/11/21/jonathan-karl-plays-the-freddiefannie-blame-game/</link>
		<comments>http://www.fair.org/blog/2011/11/21/jonathan-karl-plays-the-freddiefannie-blame-game/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Nov 2011 21:31:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Hart</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[ABC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dean Baker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fannie Mae]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing bubble]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jonathan Karl]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Newt Gingrich]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fair.org/blog/?p=19820</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[News that Newt Gingrich was receiving millions of dollars to advise Freddie Mac has to be a little unsettling for at least some conservative voters, who are accustomed to demonizing the government-sponsored entities Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac for causing the housing bubble, and hence the recession.
But it's not just right-wing pundits like Bill O'Reilly [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>News that <a title="FAIR Blog: More Evidence of Gingrich's Idea-Spewing" href="http://www.fair.org/blog/2011/05/16/more-evidence-of-gingrichs-idea-spewing/" target="_self">Newt Gingrich</a> was receiving millions of dollars to advise Freddie Mac has to be a little unsettling for at least some conservative voters, who are accustomed to demonizing the government-sponsored entities Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac for causing the housing bubble, and hence the recession.</p>
<p>But it's not just right-wing pundits like <a title="FAIR Blog: Up Is Down, Down Is Up" href="http://www.fair.org/blog/2011/10/31/up-is-down-down-is-up-bill-oreilly-explains-ows/" target="_self">Bill O'Reilly</a> who are fond of blaming it all on Fannie and Freddie. Here's <strong>ABC </strong>reporter Jonathan Karl, speaking in conservative shorthand in his job as network news correspondent on <strong>This Week</strong> <a href="http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/week-transcript-chicago-mayor-rahm-emanuel/story?id=14990016&amp;singlePage=true">yesterday</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Meet this week's new front-runner. He's a good debater, man of ideas, and now Newt Gingrich is riding high in the polls, which means now the spotlight turns to all his baggage. Exhibit A: the nearly $2 million he got from Freddie Mac, a government-backed mortgage company that made so many bad loans, it helped bring the economy down.</p></blockquote>
<p>We'll set aside the stuff about Newt Gingrich, Man of Ideas (his most <a href="http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/11/19/from-gingrich-an-unconventional-view-of-education/">recent one</a> involving having poor children replace janitors at their schools).</p>
<p>The more important question: Did Freddie Mac make the bad loans that crashed the economy?</p>
<p>No. You can read about that <a href="http://econintersect.com/wordpress/?p=15494">here</a> or <a href="http://rortybomb.wordpress.com/2011/11/01/bloombergs-awful-comment-what-can-we-say-for-certain-regarding-the-gses/">here</a>, among many others. (<strong>UPDATE</strong>: To be clear, Fannie/Freddie don't actually lend money to people buying homes-- as <strong>McClatchy</strong>'s Kevin Hall and David Goldstein <a href="http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2008/10/12/53802/private-sector-loans-not-fannie.html">explained back in 2008</a>).</p>
<p>Or read this concise explanation from Fannie/Freddie critic Dean Baker,  part of <a href="http://www.cepr.net/index.php/blogs/beat-the-press/david-brooks-discovers-that-it-was-all-fannie-maes-fault">this response</a> to a <a title="FAIR Blog: Can They Pull David Brooks' Pundit License?" href="http://www.fair.org/blog/2010/11/05/can-they-pull-david-brooks-pundit-license/" target="_self">David Brooks</a> column on this subject:</p>
<blockquote><p>The worst junk mortgages that inflated  the housing bubble to extraordinary levels were not bought and securitized by  Fannie and Freddie, they were securitized by Citigroup, Merrill Lynch, Goldman  Sachs, Lehman and the other private investment banks. These investment banks  gobbled up the worst subprime and Alt-A garbage that sleaze operations like  Ameriquest and Countrywide pushed on homebuyers.</p>
<p>The trillions of dollars that the geniuses at the private investment banks  funneled into the housing market were the force that inflated the bubble to its  2006 peaks. Fannie and Freddie were followers in this story, jumping into the  subprime and Alt-A market in 2005 to try to maintain market share. They were not  the leaders.</p></blockquote>
<p>So why is conservative mythology being treated as if it were fact by Jonathan Karl? Because <a href="http://www.fair.org/index.php?page=4323">that's what he does</a>.</p>
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