Still, I was surprised, after a day of voting in which there was one major race pitting a Democrat against a Republican–the special election in Rep. Jack Murtha's old district in Pennsylvania, which the Democrat won quite handily–the New York Daily News provided this analysis (5/19/10):
Tuesday's balloting is a fresh reminder of what all the combatants have understood for months: It's a lousy year to be a Democrat, an incumbent or Barack Obama.
Based on what, exactly? The only election result that's even mentioned is Sen. Arlen Specter's Democratic primary loss to Rep. Joe Sestak. That just showed that last year was a lousy year to become a Democrat.